Senin, 02 Desember 2013

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Theatre in Your Life 2nd edition

  • Sales Rank: #9182085 in Books
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Minggu, 01 Desember 2013

[A748.Ebook] Ebook Essentials of Monte Carlo Simulation: Statistical Methods for Building Simulation Models, by Nick T. Thomopoulos

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Essentials of Monte Carlo Simulation: Statistical Methods for Building Simulation Models, by Nick T. Thomopoulos

Essentials of Monte Carlo Simulation focuses on the fundamentals of Monte Carlo methods using basic computer simulation techniques. The theories presented in this text deal with systems that are too complex to solve analytically. As a result, readers are given a system of interest and constructs using computer code, as well as algorithmic models to emulate how the system works internally. After the models are run several times, in a random sample way, the data for each output variable(s) of interest is analyzed by ordinary statistical methods. This book features 11 comprehensive chapters, and discusses such key topics as random number generators, multivariate random variates, and continuous random variates. Over 100 numerical examples are presented as part of the appendix to illustrate useful real world applications.  The text also contains an easy to read  presentation with minimal use of difficult mathematical concepts.  Very little has been published in the area of computer Monte Carlo simulation methods, and this book will appeal to students and researchers in the fields of Mathematics and Statistics. 

  • Published on: 2015-01-28
  • Released on: 2015-01-28
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.26" h x .46" w x 6.11" l, .61 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 174 pages

Review

...the author notes that the text is intended for users who want to know more about how the Monte Carlo model “does what it does.” He goes on to further describe the book as telling the user how to cope with simulation models that are associated with two or more variables that are correlated and jointly related, that is, are multivariate in nature. The book will also help users who are confronted with a probability distribution that does not comply with those available in the software they are using...I like the fact that the author uses several examples that are fairly easy to follow for the analyst. Problems assigned to each chapter with corresponding solutions are presented in the appendices for the reader to test their knowledge of the material.
Technometrics 56:1 2014

From the Back Cover

Essentials of Monte Carlo Simulation focuses on the fundamentals of Monte Carlo methods using basic computer simulation techniques. The theories presented in this text deal with systems that are too complex to solve analytically. As a result, readers are given a system of interest and constructs using computer code, as well as algorithmic models to emulate how the system works internally. After the models are run very many times, in a random sample way, the data for each output variable(s) of interest is analyzed by ordinary statistical methods. This book features 11 comprehensive chapters, and discusses such key topics as random number generators, multivariate random variates, and continuous random variates. More than 100 numerical examples are presented in the chapters to illustrate useful real world applications. The text also contains an easy to read presentation with minimal use of difficult mathematical concepts. With a strong focus in the area of computer Monte Carlo simulation methods, this book will appeal to students and researchers in the fields of Mathematics and Statistics.

 

Nick T. Thomopoulos is a professor emeritus at the Illinois Institute of Technology. He is the author of six books, including Fundamentals of Queuing Systems (2012). He has more than 100 published papers and presentations to his credit, and for many years, he has consulted in a wide variety of industries in the United States, Europe, and Asia. He has been the recipient of numerous honors, such as the Rist Prize in 1972 from the Military Operations Research Society for new developments in queuing theory, the Distinguished Professor Award in Bangkok, Thailand in 2005 from the IIT Asian Alumni Association, and the Professional Achievement Award in 2009 from the IIT Alumni Association.

About the Author

Nick T. Thomopoulos is a professor emeritus at the Illinois Institute of Technology. He is the author of six books, including Fundamentals of Queuing Systems (2012). He has more than 100 published papers and presentations to his credit, and for many years, he has consulted in a wide variety of industries in the United States, Europe, and Asia. He has been the recipient of numerous honors, such as the Rist Prize in 1972 from the Military Operations Research Society for new developments in queuing theory, the Distinguished Professor Award in Bangkok, Thailand in 2005 from the IIT Asian Alumni Association, and the Professional Achievement Award in 2009 from the IIT Alumni Association.

.

Most helpful customer reviews

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent Advanced Introduction to Monte Carlo
By Michael Hunstad
This book fills a missing gap in the spectrum of Monte Carlo texts. At one extreme you have the works of Kelton and Law (and the like) which, while excellent, are encyclopedic in their approach and targeted to advanced students. At the other you have softer, more pedestrian introductions aimed at individuals with little or no background in the field. This book falls in between.

I should note that I took a PhD level course in Monte Carlo methods from the author while he was on the faculty of the Illinois Institute of Technology. While our official text was Kelton and Law, this book reads like my course notes - a succinct and utterly relevant distillation of the main points of Kelton and Law. Of course, there is also plenty of unique material that make the book worthwhile in its own right.

Finally, this book is extremely practical - it's for those who actually want to do Monte Carlo. It's not program or language specific (it won't tell you anything about how to use @RISK) but gives you all the necessary algorithms in the form of pseudo-code to utilize them in any programming language. It is an absolutely invaluable tool to have on hand when you are struggling with modeling problems.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Great book!
By WDP
Excellent book! It's full of very useful and practical information.

0 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Is useless for those that actually talk to people
By T-Bone Tommy
Horrific. Why Amazon wont be clear exactly what this book contains is baffling to me. This is a book for programmers of the language. This is not shown in the 'sample pages' by Amazon. Is useless for those that actually talk to people. Just formulas. Stay away. Now I ate $130 for crap.

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Sabtu, 30 November 2013

[T607.Ebook] Fee Download PSYCH (with CourseMate Printed Access Card) (Engaging 4ltr Press Titles in Psychology)

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  • Sales Rank: #261363 in Books
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Minggu, 24 November 2013

[R408.Ebook] Free PDF Change Your Thoughts - Change Your Life: Living the Wisdom of the Tao, by Dr. Wayne W. Dyer

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Change Your Thoughts - Change Your Life: Living the Wisdom of the Tao, by Dr. Wayne W. Dyer

Five hundred years before the birth of Jesus, a God-realized being named Lao-tzu in ancient China dictated 81 verses, which are regarded by many as the ultimate commentary on the nature of our existence. The classic text of these 81 verses, called the Tao Te Ching or the Great Way, offers advice and guidance that is balanced, moral, spiritual, and always concerned with working for the good.

In this book, Dr. Wayne W. Dyer has reviewed hundreds of translations of the Tao Te Ching and has written 81 distinct essays on how to apply the ancient wisdom of Lao-tzu to today’s modern world. This work contains the entire 81 verses of the Tao, compiled from Wayne’s researching of 10 of the most well-respected translations of text that have survived for more than 25 centuries. Each chapter is designed for actually living the Tao or the Great Way today. Some of the chapter titles are “Living with Flexibility,” “Living Without Enemies,” and “Living by Letting Go.” Each of the 81 brief chapters focuses on living the Tao and concludes with a section called “Doing the Tao Now.”

Wayne spent one entire year reading, researching, and meditating on Lao-tzu’s messages, practicing them each day and ultimately writing down these essays as he felt Lao-tzu wanted you to know them.

This is a work to be read slowly, one essay a day. As Wayne says, “This is a book that will forever change the way you look at your life, and the result will be that you’ll live in a new world aligned with nature. Writing this book changed me forever, too. I now live in accord with the natural world and feel the greatest sense of peace I’ve ever experienced. I’m so proud to present this interpretation of the Tao Te Ching, and offer the same opportunity for change that it has brought me.”

  • Sales Rank: #6725 in Books
  • Brand: Unknown
  • Published on: 2009-01-01
  • Released on: 2009-01-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x 1.00" w x 6.00" l, 1.21 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 416 pages
Features
  • Change Your Thoughts, Change Your Life: Living the Wisdom of the Tao

Review
"Warm and inspiring" Spirit & Destiny

About the Author

Affectionately called the “father of motivation” by his fans, Dr. Wayne W. Dyer was an internationally renowned author, speaker, and pioneer in the field of self-development. Over the four decades of his career, he wrote more than 40 books (21 of which became New York Times bestsellers), created numerous audio programs and videos, and appeared on thousands of television and radio shows. His books Manifest Your Destiny, Wisdom of the Ages, There’s a Spiritual Solution to Every Problem, and the New York Times bestsellers 10 Secrets for Success and Inner Peace, The Power of Intention, Inspiration, Change Your Thoughts—Change Your Life, Excuses Begone!, Wishes Fulfilled, and I Can See Clearly Now were all featured as National Public Television specials.

Wayne held a doctorate in educational counseling from Wayne State University, had been an associate professor at St. John’s University in New York, and honored a lifetime commitment to learning and finding the Higher Self. In 2015, he left his body, returning to Infinite Source to embark on his next adventure.

Website: www.DrWayneDyer.com


Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
LOVE this book - Simple, Practical Approach to the Tao
By Kindle Customer
I love, love, love this book. I am a fan of Wayne Dyer as it is, but this approach of breaking down all the verses of the Tao into relatable, practical examples and definitions is fantastic. I have been slowly going through each one of the verses and applying the lessons every week. There are certain verses that feel almost like common sense but then there are others that are so challenging in conception, let alone application, that I can truthfully say that my world is slowly being transformed. Inspired by the teaching of Tao Te Ching I have checked out other books on the Tao but they tend to be too scholarly and confusing. I do not have other people in my life who are familiar with the teachings of Lao Tzu so when a confusing verse comes up I feel as if the information provided in this book is really my only place to process, and it is done well enough that I can do so with confidence. It is a great book, and if you decide to take your time and truly process the teachings I think the book title is 100% true - your life will change.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Do the Tao Now
By Edward J. Barton
Dr. Wayne Dyer brings a bit of New Age self-help interpretation to his interpretation of the 81 verses of the Tao Te Ching. He approaches the book in a "typical" self help way - with a rendering of the verse at hand, an interpretation based on his meditation on it, and then a methodology to implement and experience the Tao lesson in daily life. The book is well written from the self-help perspective, and for the typical Western reader will provide some interesting and useful insights into the writings of Lao Tzu.

Having given the praise, I want to caveat the book by noting that if you are a Taoist scholar (I am not, though I studied it some nearly a decade ago), Dr. Dyer's book will read like a Children's Bible or New Age Christianity to the traditional Christian. The interpretations are very modern, Western and organic. The practices are relatively simple, and the lessons somewhat superficial. That doesn't diminish their value to the average reader, but this isn't a Taoist text in any traditional sense.

An interesting format and interpretation of the Tao for the modern American self-help reader.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
What I Did on Vacation
By Robert Duncanson
I think Wayne Dyer got kind of burned out making too many series for PBS that dealt with living a full life.

Apparently, he took time off and went to Hawaii or some other island paradise to decompress.

He read his way through the Tao Te Ching one chapter a day, thought about it, then sat down and wrote something in between an interpretation, an analysis, and a reflective essay. (It is not easy to come up in between three things without the use of a Venn diagram, but he did.)

This is a very well written work that addresses fresh insights and efficient responses to the human condition.

The philosophy of the Tao is one half of the two views China developed on how to live. Obviously, the other stands in total opposition to the Taolsm. (Tao says, "fugedabowdit." Confucious says,"Yo, Beeahch! Do something.)

Sometimes a new bottle releases flavors missed before. This is a surprisingly very good book. Nudge...nudge. Buy it!

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The First Punic War, by John Lazenby

First Published in 1996. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.

  • Sales Rank: #2862963 in Books
  • Published on: 1996-01-31
  • Released on: 1996-01-29
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.21" h x .51" w x 6.14" l, .70 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 224 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Caveat Emptor...
By John P. Jones III
There seems to be an unfortunate trend in the publishing industry lately, of apparently obtaining a copyright which has lapsed, then re-issuing the book, usually at an exorbitant price, and with quality that is substantially inferior to the original. I noticed this trend occurring with two other wildly disparate books, And Quiet Flows the Don and One Hundred Dollar Misunderstanding: Author Corrected Text. Other reviewers have posted the relevant details on each of these books. Frankly I am surprised that Stanford University Press has gotten into this game. Fortunately I purchased my copy, issued by UCL Press Ltd., shortly after it was originally issued in 1996, which has the much more evocative cover, a copy of JMW Turner's painting, "Regulus." What alerted me to the problem was ET Veal's excellent review, in which he complained about the lack of maps. My version contains eight maps, properly correlated to the text, enabling the reader to better understand "the action," as well as a drawing of the "corvus," the boarding mechanism which greatly facilitated the Roman victories. So, if I was buying again, I'd make sure to purchase the 1996 version, some copies of which are currently available, used, at almost a tenth of the price of a new hardcover edition from Stanford.

The First Punic War occurred in the middle 3rd Century B.C., lasted more than 20 years, and was fought between the two principal economic and military powers of the Mediterranean world, Rome and Carthage. There are parallels, though certainly not exact, with World War I and II, since after a little more than a couple of decades, the Second Punic War commenced, which would ultimately lead to the utter destruction of Carthage, with Rome triumphant. It is the latter war that is far better known, due to the ancient historians, whose work is preserved, and the fact that the dynamic and charismatic Hannibal plays much better on the `big screen,' and has generated numerous movies. Professor Lazenby has performed an admirable task, however, of making the First war, the prelude, much more accessible to the modern reader, despite the paucity of accurate sources, mainly Polybius.

Lazenby draws the concerned reader of history into the story on page 1, with, to me, the astonishing fact that the naval battle at Ecnomus, in 256 BC, involved more men that the battle of Leyte Gulf, in the Second World War, which I had always thought was the largest. Supposedly, there were 285,000 men, and 680 ships at Ecnomus, compared to 200,000 men and 282 ships at Leyte. A couple of other books that seem to confirm both large numbers, and the savagery of battles in the ancient world are (The Histories, Revised (Penguin Classics) and The Ghosts of Cannae: Hannibal and the Darkest Hour of the Roman Republic

Overall, I appreciated Lazenby's approach, carefully weighing the facts in terms of their reliability (confirmed by more than one source) and plausibility (what we know of overall life in the ancient world.) Still, I found the book a bit of a slog, with far more details that I'm likely to retain, and perhaps one equivocation too many due to poor original sources, so overall, I'd give it 4-stars, and leave a higher rating to the true aficionados of this period.

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
More than a scene-setter for Hannibal
By Harry Eagar
J.F. Lazenby claims his book is the first history of the First Punic War in English. The story, of course, as been told before, but usually as a scene-setter for the more dramatic career of Hannibal in the Second War.

However, the first war was even more important. Not only was it "the longest war in ancient history," it was Rome's first war outside Italy. It was, Lazenby says, by no means certain that Rome would be the victor in any, much less all three, of its wars with Carthage. Therefore, he judges the victory ending the first war in 241 BC one of the most important in all history. He also labels the naval battle of Ecnormus the greatest in all history, at least in terms of numbers of sailors engaged.

It should be remembered that this started just a century before the revolt of the Maccabees, in an out-of-the-way place. Carthage was big and strong, Rome an emerging regional power.

Since my primary interest is the role of sea power, the First Punic War is of special interest. Throughout history, in situations where sea power could be decisive, it almost always has been. Not here. At least, not in the way anyone would have expected.

At the start, Carthage was the sea power, with better ships, better sailors. It should have had better captains, but perhaps it did not. Rome had no navy at all, although its recently absorbed southern Italian allies (Greeks) had maritime experience.

Carthage ought to have been able to use the flexibility of sea power to quickly end Rome's entry into Sicily. As it happened, Rome won every sea battle but one. In part this was due to advances in technology (the corvus or boarding ramp) and tactics (use of shore artillery to defend an inferior fleet).

However, these victories, until the last one, did not count for much in the campaign because three times Rome's navy was destroyed by storms, twice just after important victories.

Lazenby tentatively identifies the difference as strategic: Rome was bent on conquest (though not at the outset), while Carthage, a trading power, preferred peace, business and compromise of differences. Rome would not settle for less than total victory.

Lazenby says of the Romans, "they thought they had to finish anything they began, nothing they had once decided to do being impossible." That used to be the American way of war, too, but no longer.

"The First Punic War" is one of the oddest history books I have ever read. The sources are few and contradictory, and while archaeology, numismatics and geography are some help, the word "uncertain" appears scores of times. "It is difficult to know what to make of all this," Lazenby says over and over.

He makes an excellent effort, nevertheless.

Although I usually avoid commenting on other reviews, I am mystified by the reviewer who complained that Lazenby does not give a strategic view. He does, and in an epilogue recapitulates his strategic conclusions.

35 of 40 people found the following review helpful.
Rome's First Great War
By E. T. Veal
Polybius begins his history of Rome's rise to domination of the Mediterranean with the First Punic War (264-241 B.C.), and he was no doubt right about its significance. For the first time, Roman forces ventured outside of Italy, fought at sea and invaded another continent. By war's end, the City had added Sicily, Sardinia and Corsica to its sphere of influence and could no longer be ignored by other Mediterranean states. It had also acquired a relentless enemy in defeated Carthage and, especially, the Carthaginian general Hamilcar Barca. For two decades after peace was declared, the Barcids devoted their energies to building a new Punic dominion in Spain to support their dreams of revenge, dreams that were almost fulfilled by Hamilcar's son, Hannibal.
One would like to, but cannot, trace so important a conflict in at least moderate detail. Polybius, our fullest source, merely summarizes events as a prelude to the Second Punic War, and his narrative is a blend of two lost authors of uncertain reliability, without the eyewitness evidence that undergirds the main portion of his work. To fill the gaps in Polybius, all that survive are fragments, epitomes and the summaries of late compilers like the 5th Century Orosius and 12th Century Zonaras.
The patchiness of the sources is frustratingly apparent in the last period of the war. In 249 Rome lost virtually its entire fleet to a battle and a storm, just at the moment when Carthage's handful of remaining strongholds in Sicily seemed on the verge of collapse. At that point fog descends. We are told that Hamilcar Barca conducted a brilliant guerilla campaign for the next eight years. Polybius calls him the best general on either side, and the Carthaginians awarded him their most important post-war commands. But what he did to earn that reputation is a mystery. Equally mysterious is the apparent passivity of both combatants. Carthage devoted its military energies to subduing its African neighbors, making little effort to regain its Mediterranean position, while Rome waited seven years to construct another navy. What was going on, and why? We will never know.
Incidents are not all that the record lacks. The institutional background is hazy; both cities changed between the first and second wars, but we do not know how or how much. The statesmen and generals are little more than names. Motives and strategies are largely guesswork.
At the most basic level, it is hardly possible to form a clear notion of how battles were fought. Professor Lazenby remarks that "we do not even know exactly what a quinquereme was". He is too optimistic. We do not even know _approximately_ what a quinquereme was, except that it was the principal warship on both sides and had a name derived from five somethings having to do with oars. Obscure in a different way is the "crow", a Roman invention that combined boarding bridge and grappling hook. Polybius credits this "wonder weapon" with negating Carthaginian superiority in seamanship, enabling the inexperienced Roman navy to sweep all of its early battles. Yet the device looks easy to counter; strong men with poles should have been able to fend it off while their vessel backed oars and slipped out of reach. Moreover, the Romans, after supposedly using the crow successfully for 15 years, abruptly gave it up, and no one ever employed it again.
For undertaking what many would call an impossible feat of reconstruction, Professor Lazenby deserves kudos. He assembles a lucid outline by sifting and comparing the ancient sources, laying out his reasoning in meticulous but rarely exhausting detail. His operating assumption is that virtually all of the recorded facts go back to something that really occurred rather than just to imagination. There are some limits to this principle. He rejects out of hand the romantic story of the consul Regulus' self-sacrifice. But he defends Polybius' enormous figures for the numbers of ships and men engaged at the Battle of Ecnomus (256 B.C.) and lost in the storm off Camarina (255 B.C.). Many readers will probably be more skeptical, but at least they are given a fair accounting of the data.
The product of this effort is not vivid and exciting, but that is not the author's fault. Only fiction could hope to bring the dry bones to life. What can be faulted is the absence of good maps of the theater of war. Roads, topography and ethnic allegiances of Sicilian towns would all be welcome, though they may have fallen victim to budget constraints.
The reader does not need to bring to this book any specialized background knowledge, but the specialist should not find it superficial. More could probably not be said in twice the pages. As the only modern English history of the First Punic War, it will be appreciated by those interested in either ancient military affairs or the development of the Roman Republic.

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Rabu, 06 November 2013

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Customers are thrilled by service which makes them feel important, if only for the moment. The Way You Make Me Feel is a collection of interactions which focus on the varying emotions that come into play as people provided and received service in everyday situations. It captures that fact that often there is a lack of alignment between what the provider of the service and the receiver of the service consider to be excellent. Prescriptions accompany each scenario to provide managers with ideas on how to improve the service offerings based on the lessons learned.

  • Sales Rank: #6876247 in Books
  • Published on: 2011-03-29
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.99" h x .30" w x 5.00" l, .32 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 140 pages

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Very useful
By Dr Lorna Matthews
I find the perspectives taken by the writer on the need to ensure customer satisfaction in all service areas to be very enlightening! As an educator I was able to use this book with my students who were pursuing a program in school management and leadership. My students were able to adapt the cases presented in this book to that of managing schools and their various stakeholders. Reading it was fun!

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Somebody Told Me: The Newspaper Stories of Rick Bragg

  • Sales Rank: #4231163 in Books
  • Published on: 1900
  • Binding: Paperback

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